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A Risk Assessment Model on Pine Wood Nematode in the EU AgEcon
Soliman, T.; Hengeveld, G.M.; Robinet, C.; Mourits, Monique; van der Werf, Wopke; Oude Lansink, Alfons G.J.M..
Pine wood nematode, B. xylophilus poses a serious threat for the European forest industry. This study applies a quantitative risk assessment to analyze the risk of pine wood nematode in the EU, by estimating the reduction expected within forestry stock available for wood supply and its downstream roundwood market. Spatial analysis is used to join information on climate suitability, host distribution, pest spread and value of assets. Economic impacts are presented spatially on a NUTS-2 scale based on partial budgeting technique and for the EU as a whole based on partial equilibrium modeling. Results highlight the Southern regions of Europe as high risk areas with a total impact on available forestry stock of 19,000 M € after 20 years of an outbreak and no...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Risk assessment; Pine wood nematode; Economic analysis; EU; Crop Production/Industries; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/116010
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Food supply chain consequences of new responses to livestock epidemics AgEcon
Meuwissen, Miranda P.M.; Mourits, Monique; Hoste, Robert; Bergevoet, Ron H.M.; Huirne, Ruud B.M..
This article studies supply chain consequences from applying the new-more socially acceptable -strategy of emergency vaccination instead of the large-scale killing of healthy animals for controlling livestock epidemics. We consider an outbreak of foot and mouth disease in a densely populated livestock area of the Netherlands. From an epidemiological perspective, simulation results show that emergency vaccination significantly reduces the size of an epidemic, both in terms of the length of an outbreak and in the number of animals killed. However, in a worst-case situation, not destroying the vaccinated animals after the end of the epidemic leads to additional consequential losses for food supply chains involved of about Euro 200 million. A business case...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Livestock epidemics; Financial impact; Consumer acceptance; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21337
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